The Strongest Trading Signal _ Bollinger Bands Squeeze & Head fake Signal
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Description: Bollinger Bands shows the levels of different highs and lows that a security price has reached in a particular duration and also its relative strength, where highs are near to the upper line and lows are near to lower line. In other words, the price points near the edges of the ‘envelope’ formed can help us recognise a pattern at a particular moment. The bandwidth widens and narrows depending on volatility. If it’s high, the band would widen and if the volatility decreases, then the band would narrow. These bands show oversold and overbought conditions in relation to a selected time period moving average.
Bollinger Bands are somewhat like moving average envelopes, but drawing calculations for both is different. In Bollinger Bands, standard deviation levels are considered to draw the upper and lower lines, whereas for Moving Average Envelopes, the lines are plotted by taking a fixed percentage.
Calculation: For calculation of Bollinger Bands, the following variables are required:
a) Time Period denoted — ‘N’
b) Standard Deviation value — ‘s’
c) Three Bollinger bands or lines where:
- Moving Average Line or Middle Band for ‘N’ period MA (N). Refer average ‘Moving Average’ concept for calculation
- Upper Band or line wherein MA line is shifted up by price standard deviation for ‘N’ period multiplied by SD measure value ‘D’ (MA + D(s))
- Lower Band or line where in MA line is shifted below by price standard deviation for ‘N’ period multiplied by SD measure value ‘D’ (MA – D(s))
For different securities, different variable settings can be chosen. Typically traders use 20-day simple moving average with a standard deviation of 2. Some traders may use exponential moving average too.
Example: Taking normal parameters used for drawing Bollinger Bands, we choose:
• Security: Nifty 50
• Data set: Daily close value
• Moving Average: 20-Day simple moving average
• Standard Deviation measure value (D): 2
• Standard Deviation for price calculated for 20-day period
• Filled Range
• Here the green line is the upper band, showing standard deviation above the moving average, which is a 20-day simple MA + (20-Day SD of price x 2)
• The blue line is middle band showing 20-day simple MA
• The red line is lower band showing standard deviation below moving average, which is the 20-day simple MA + (20-Day SD of price x 2)
The band was widest when Nifty50 was volatile during July, the band narrowed when Nifty50 was consolidating during September.
Some important points for interpretation of Bollinger Bands:
• When bands are contracting, there are chances of sharp price changes as volatility is drops
• When price line surpasses the bands’ range, that a strong signal of continuation of the current trend
• When new highs and lows are made outside the bands followed by highs and lows made inside the bands, it shows an imminent trend reversal
• If a move originating in one band tends to replicate on the other band too, it is useful in deciding future price targets
• When the price moves near the upper band, that shows an overbought market, and when the prices are nearer to the lower band, that signals an oversold market
• M-patterns is one of the signal created by Arthur Merrill as an extension to Bollinger Bands to identify M-Tops, which shows signs of confirmation when prices are making new highs
• W-Bottoms, again Arthur Merrill’s work to identify W-Bottoms to determine the strength when prices are making new lows
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Harmonic Trading Patterns Versus Indicators
Correct cash management will show your stamina in the video game. They invest hours on hours finding out and reading all the trade rules for each indications. Utilizing tools like the Bollinger Bands can help, too.
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My Favorite 4 Forex Indicators And How To Utilize Them
Do you wish to earn money with Forex trading? How do so lots of traders make money trading the Nasdaq 100 every day. There are a variety of Forex signal services readily available at a reasonable rate.
If you’re like me, you wish to find a method to trade the Forex that corresponds. That pays. That’s simple. Forex trading indicators can be your key to all of this.
Bollinger Bands are created to record the majority of price motion. When costs move beyond the upper or lower band, they are thought about high (overbought) or low (oversold) on a relative basis.
Scalpers frequently take part in multiple trades each day. Some traders carry out a number of trades and make profits with ease. Don’t worry, I will teach you the technical knowledge of scalping the marketplace. Scalps are carried out in the instructions of the present pattern of the Forex market. You can’t escape from the reality that the “pattern is your good friend” if you don’t understand the pattern of the marketplace, do not put any order.
Rather related is the concept of vengeance trading. Simply due to the fact that you lost $200 in the last trade does not indicate you ought to expect to make it all back in Bollinger Bands Trader a brand-new trade and set your exit limitation accordingly. OK, possibly you have not done that, precisely, however you ‘d be shocked how typical that malfunctioning logic can be.
We have a great deal of tools at our disposal to assist us to recognize these patterns. These consist of pattern lines, moving averages, Bollinger Bands and more. We will be covering each of these in separate posts.
As soon as I have some guidelines in my head for what the EUR/USD price range could look like, I will look at the 1-hour chart, and determine the dominant pattern on that timespan. If the 1-hour chart informs me the overall bias for EUR/USD is, say neutral to bearish, I will be selling the direction of the pattern, i.e., shorting EUR/USD.
Before going nuts I challenge the reader to select at random a dozen 5 year, 200 day moving typical charts and to see them for the really first time. Ask yourself an innovative question. Why isn’t it much better to purchase a stock when its selling listed below its 200 day moving average rather than above its 200 day moving average. Research study the charts and see them for the really first time.
It is frequently a lower threat strategy than straight purchasing Stocks or choices. There is no connection to the famous champagne, unless you decide to commemorate your wins. So, it might fall well listed below 100 within a month.
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