BOLLINGER BANDS: DOUBLE BOTTOM "W" FORMATION _ VOLATILITY DIVERGENCE

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Description: Bollinger Bands shows the levels of different highs and lows that a security price has reached in a particular duration and also its relative strength, where highs are near to the upper line and lows are near to lower line. In other words, the price points near the edges of the ‘envelope’ formed can help us recognise a pattern at a particular moment. The bandwidth widens and narrows depending on volatility. If it’s high, the band would widen and if the volatility decreases, then the band would narrow. These bands show oversold and overbought conditions in relation to a selected time period moving average.

Bollinger Bands are somewhat like moving average envelopes, but drawing calculations for both is different. In Bollinger Bands, standard deviation levels are considered to draw the upper and lower lines, whereas for Moving Average Envelopes, the lines are plotted by taking a fixed percentage.

Calculation: For calculation of Bollinger Bands, the following variables are required:

a) Time Period denoted — ‘N’

b) Standard Deviation value — ‘s’

c) Three Bollinger bands or lines where:

1. Moving Average Line or Middle Band for ‘N’ period MA (N). Refer average ‘Moving Average’ concept for calculation

2. Upper Band or line wherein MA line is shifted up by price standard deviation for ‘N’ period multiplied by SD measure value ‘D’ (MA + D(s))

3. Lower Band or line where in MA line is shifted below by price standard deviation for ‘N’ period multiplied by SD measure value ‘D’ (MA – D(s))

For different securities, different variable settings can be chosen. Typically traders use 20-day simple moving average with a standard deviation of 2. Some traders may use exponential moving average too.

Example: Taking normal parameters used for drawing Bollinger Bands, we choose:

• Security: Nifty 50

• Data set: Daily close value

• Moving Average: 20-Day simple moving average

• Standard Deviation measure value (D): 2

• Standard Deviation for price calculated for 20-day period

• Filled Range

• Here the green line is the upper band, showing standard deviation above the moving average, which is a 20-day simple MA + (20-Day SD of price x 2)

• The blue line is middle band showing 20-day simple MA

• The red line is lower band showing standard deviation below moving average, which is the 20-day simple MA + (20-Day SD of price x 2)

http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/markets/technical-charts

The band was widest when Nifty50 was volatile during July, the band narrowed when Nifty50 was consolidating during September.

Some important points for interpretation of Bollinger Bands:

• When bands are contracting, there are chances of sharp price changes as volatility is drops

• When price line surpasses the bands’ range, that a strong signal of continuation of the current trend

• When new highs and lows are made outside the bands followed by highs and lows made inside the bands, it shows an imminent trend reversal

• If a move originating in one band tends to replicate on the other band too, it is useful in deciding future price targets

• When the price moves near the upper band, that shows an overbought market, and when the prices are nearer to the lower band, that signals an oversold market

• M-patterns is one of the signal created by Arthur Merrill as an extension to Bollinger Bands to identify M-Tops, which shows signs of confirmation when prices are making new highs

• W-Bottoms, again Arthur Merrill’s work to identify W-Bottoms to determine the strength when prices are making new lows

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It can offer an excellent earnings stream for people to reside on or to build wealth for the future. Also, tech stocks will continue to assist a few of the stocks. Generally, PD and FCX are more unstable than copper.

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Upper tiers of RSI suggests that the existing market is oversold. But all these tools will Never offer you the opportunity to anticipate it. The bands are drawn at an equivalent range above and listed below a basic moving average.

At the minute EUR/USD is moving pretty much in line with the United States stock market. The S&P goes up, the Euro goes up vs the US dollar. The S&P goes down, the Euro goes down. This relationship will not last permanently, but that’s one of the major styles presently in play for EUR/USD.

The third chart is a three-year SPX monthly chart with Bollinger Bands. At the start of the cyclical booming market, SPX rallied into the upper half of the regular monthly Bollinger Bands and then typically traded between the upper and middle bands. In October 2005, SPX was up to the middle band, rallied to the upper band, and after that traded just listed below the upper band, which has actually been resistance. Also, the ZigZag line shows each time SPX increased to the upper band, it pulled-back towards the middle band. The previous 2 times SPX rallied to the upper band, it pulled-back over 7% and over 6% within 3 months.

Usually speaking, betting is the hope that you will win a wager in a video game of possibility where the probability of profit is not better than 50%. Trading, on the other hand, is the diligent application of knowledge, wisdom, patience and self-control in the execution of transactions such that the possibility of constant revenues, with correct finance, is at least 75% (some go a bit lower).

Enter your trade as price moves past your Bollinger Bands Trader go into point and set a stop loss and profit target. Enjoy the trade and change your stop loss to recover cost as quickly as possible. Constantly search for affordable revenue targets and change them based on your past results. The most essential goal is to handle the trade and not lose money.If you don’t have a solid strategy to manage the trade, even the finest entries can lose money.

This is where so many Bollinger Bands traders go incorrect. From the beginning they do not understand what type of trader that they want to be. The master is a day trader or an option-only trader, so you ought to be, too.If the expert is trading a $50,000 account or suggests a $10,000 account, you need to instantly do the same.

Firstly, always evaluate the marketplace environment prior to positioning a SL due to the fact that no each trade has the exact same point where a SL can be integrated in. This is to ensure, that the SL is kept in the exact point that best suits each trade. Constantly have a pre-determined revenue margin before placing a SL. This enables you to know exactly where you ought to position your stop loss, so you can achieve your pre-determined profit margin. Stop losses ought to never be put near the existing cost. Lastly, the stop loss need to not be place too far either, that it become insignificant to the trade.

If you desire to venture into this business, Learning about share trading is an essential skill. You will lose money while you are learning: it is the expense of studying share trading – but remember, expert share traders also make errors and lose cash. However be cautioned, if you choose not to lose cash and don’t like taking dangers, you are much better off with term deposits or handled funds.

Maybe a significant resistance line is close to the top of the band. Now do not be terrified by the algebraic term basic variances. When a breakout occurs, a brand-new trend is started.

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